MDunleavy

По всепй видимости восходящий тренд по фунту ослабевает. Следует ожидать нисходящего движения. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ GBP/USD initially fell for the session on Tuesday, but found its footing later on and rose overall. The resulting candle is shaped much like a hammer, and is sitting just above the 1.55 level. The area now looks as if it could be supportive, and the pair looks destined to march north to the 1.57 - 1.58 resistance level. The pair is still in a bearish market, so we are cautious about buying, but if we were to do it - we would buy on the break of the Tuesday range to the upside, and be willing to take profit at 1.57 or so. Or better trade is to sell from that area on weakness, and that is how we wish to play this pair.....selling between 1.57 and 1.58 on signs of weakness.[by ibtimes] Learn more : ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Jan24.html ^^^ORvvv ~~~>fforeman.byethost17.com/12Jan24.html ^^^ORvvv https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZGE3OWYxNTUtYmY5Mi00YWMzLWFkMmYtMDEwODRlMDI1N2Yw&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2) https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.iyuqgm7e6wl4

Цена пробовала опуститься ниже, но линия поддержки устояла. Думаю, что дно ещё не достигнуто и повторные попытки "штурма" ещё будут. Об этом свидетельствует масса факторов в том числе и фигуры ( ну паттерны :-) ) из крестиков-ноликов. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ EUR/USD rose during the Thursday session as traders celebrated successful bond auctions in both Italy and Spain. However, the recent downtrend is certainly intact, and it is hard to think that it suddenly will give way based upon these two sales. The 1.30 level above is the start of significant resistance, and we are looking to sell weakness in that area if it appears. The candle does suggest some possible follow through over the next day or two, but we aren’t willing to won the Euro in general and there are simply far too many problems in that part of the world right now. We are selling rallies going forward.[by forex-download] Learn more : ~~~>img37.imageshack.us/img37/1048/12jan14.pdf https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZmRlMjViOTMtNjAyMS00NzUxLWFjMjEtODk0ZjFlNzg5YzQ5&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2) https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.dlcmsqbsh50f

После консолидации и тестирования сопротивления в районе 1,2800-1,2850 возможно дальнейшее снижение к 1,2300.Фундаментальные факторы могут повлечь развитие такого сценария. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ By FXEmpire.com – The EUR/USD pair was able to record some gains on Monday after the flow of upbeat fundamentals from the euro-area region, and also after Germany was able to sell bonds on a negative yield; however, after the European Central Bank announcement, which explained that European Banks’ overnight deposits at the ECB climbed again to all-time record, the pair surrendered some of the gains on fears an interbank lending freeze could hurt the financial sector and the region’s economy. Learn more : ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/12Jan08.html ^^^ORvvv ~~~>fforeman.byethost17.com/12Jan08.html ^^^ORvvv https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8ZDVmNTliNTUtMjcyNC00ZDg5LWI3YjYtOTcxYzYwYWY0ZTUw&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 A t t a c h m e n t (1)^^^ORvvv(2) https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.dlcmsqbsh50f

По-прежнему надежды на дальнейший рост доллара. Пока после Нового Года активность низкая. Но скорее всего к середине января картина прояснится. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ USD/CHF: The recent break above the critical October highs at 0.9315 is significant and now opens the door for the next major upside extension over the coming weeks back towards parity. A confirmed higher low is now in place by 0.9065 following the recent break over 0.9330, and next key resistance comes in by 0.9785. Ultimately, only back under 0.9065 would delay constructive outlook.[by dailyfx] CLICK HERE for detail information... https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

Полагаю импульс пары доллар\франк в сторону роста ещё не исчерпал себя. Рождественские праздники несколько могут замедлить темпы, однако я полагаю, что тестирование паритета возможно. ================================= USD/CHF: The recent break above the critical October highs at 0.9315 is significant and now opens the door for the next major upside extension over the coming weeks back towards parity. A confirmed higher low is now in place by 0.9065 following the recent break over 0.9330, and next key resistance comes in by 0.9785. Ultimately, only back under 0.9065 would delay constructive outlook.[by dailyfx] Learn more : ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Dec25.html ^^^ORvvv ~~~>img521.imageshack.us/img521/929/11dec25.pdf ^^^ORvvv A t t a c h m e n t https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YjZlZjI0NDktNmYyZS00Yjk2LWJhOTMtY2Y4ZWIwYzgzMjEz&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

Золото действительно понизилось в цене. Но думаю дальнейшего снижения не будет. Можно начинать готовиться открывать длинные позиции. Возможно эта неделя пройдёт в консолидации. Далее рассчитываю на рост цены где-то в район 1673 долларов за унцию. =================== Gold dropped to as low as 1562.5 last week before forming a temporary low there and recovered. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations. But recovery should be limited below 1667.1 support turned resistance and bring another fall. Below 1562.5 will target 1535 key support and below...[by oilngold] Learn more: https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

Золото штурмует очень стойко держащуюся в настоящее время линию сопротивления. Если посмотреть на график (полноразмерную картинку не фрагмент), то в клетке 1708 цена побывала около 20 раз ( брались часовые котировки). Такая настойчивость свидетельствует о "серьёзных намерениях" :) , либо пробой либо отскок. В связи с тем, что цена опустилась к диагональной линии тренда (обозначена +++++++), рассчитываю всё же на пробой.. ...In the bigger picture, there is still no clear sign of long term trend reversal yet and price actions from 1923.7 would still be finally unfolded as correction/consolidation only. Though, the consolidation pattern would likely extend below 1923.7 for a while and rally attempt should face strong resistance near to this level. We'd anticipate another falling leg before such consolidation completes. And in such case, downside should be contained by 1478.3/1577.4 support zone...[by oilngold] Learn more : ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Dec10.html ^^^ORvvv ~~~>img690.imageshack.us/img690/4721/11dec10.pdf A t t a c h m e n t: https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1Y5rnn301l8-O_xROiUY15UzqwhHoCWipS6mND6YTepY#id.x7mxdqofo4yv

В течение недели нефть наоборот стремилась как-то преодолеть мощную линию сопротивления.Даже если у цены ( допустим это живой организм :) ) есть намерения уйти к максимумам в районе 115 долларов за бочку , всё равно должен быть откат в район ну хотя бы 95 долларов.... ============================= CL had a positive day for the Friday session as traders continue to buy commodities in general. The market looks like it wants to attempt a breakout above the recent highs of $103 and if it does – this could be the beginning of the next massive leg up in the market. However, we expect the area to actually be more resistance than the market is ready to go up against at the moment. We are buyers, but will need to see a pullback first. [meta4forexbroker] https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1k-LK7SJO6d2Ep1R9z2ln5_GA5rSGeqp6dp2xIgiZ-1c#id.6dku2saylq6t

Нефть, как известно, основное сырьё в мире. Поэтому независимо от торговли другими инструментами на нефтяные цены нужно периодически посматривать. :) Не читая ничьи обзоры склоняюсь к мысли, что будет некоторое коррекционное падение. Как и раньше за основу взят фьючерс (NYMEX: QM) из-за удобства добычи котировок. Обзор с большими картинками здесь. ~~~>docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8MjZhMjY4ZjAtZTA3Yi00MTZmLWJhZTQtN2ExODI3NGUxYzQz&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 Это документ GOOGLE он обновляющийся, там можно найти и прошлые версии есть в настройках. Вообще хорошая штука документы GOOGLE, рекомендую, а главное бесплатно. Это же на "ЖАБЕ", тот же PDF file. ~~~>img38.imageshack.us/img38/6217/11nov26.pdf Почему я пришёл к такому выводу? Было три мощных движения вверх , как правило четвёртого не бывает. Значит должен быть откат вниз. Промежуточную линию фибо 23,8% пробило. Значит как минимум будет движение к 38,2% и даже к отметке 50,0% Вот такой взгляд на нефть на ближайшее время.

Графики P&F по различным валютным парам и некоторым другим инструментам.Ячейчка помеченная другим цветом, последние варианты графиков по указанному финансовому инструменту. Файл Excel самого графика можно скачать переходя по ссылкам. ================================== https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1k-LK7SJO6d2Ep1R9z2ln5_GA5rSGeqp6dp2xIgiZ-1c

На фоне некоторого общего усиления основного :-) доллара, возможно падение пары AUD\USD приблизительно по предыдущему сценарию, который хорошо виден на полноформатном (не фрагменте) графике. ========================== *FXstreet.com (California) - AUD/USD opened the Asian morning at 1.0342 and has since broken below the 1.0300 zone. From a technical standpoint, Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXstreet.com finds that bigger time frames support a bullish outlook for this Monday, as long as above 1.0270. *At time of writing, AUD/USD is quoted in the 1.0290 zone, around 10 pips above Friday's closing price. If the pair continues its decline in the session ahead, support levels lie at 1.0270, 1.0230 and 1.0180. To the upside, resistance levels lie at 1.0360, 1.0400 and 1.0440. CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Nov13.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Nov13.html ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t PDF~~~>https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YzEyYWE0ZDUtZjI5My00MjA3LWJkOGItYzIyZjg0NjFhMmJj&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 ^^^ OR vvv HTML~~>https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8MmNiN2VmMTgtMzYyNC00ZWY3LTg2Y2UtOTJmOGViOGEyNzg1&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

Пара довольно сильно выросла на прошлой неделе. Возможен и дальнейший рост. =============== USD/CAD bounced this past week as traders sold off a lot of risk-related assets globally. The pair finished strongly above the parity level, and as such has us thinking long at this point. However, the 1.03 area will be resistive, and as such we are waiting for a close above it in order to buy. The selling of this pair can be done if we break the lows of this past week’s candle. Until then, we think this market goes sideways.[by fxempire] http://img207.imageshack.us/img207/7567/tb11nov06.png ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Oct25.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img249.imageshack.us/img249/4943/11nov06.pdf ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Oct25.html ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8NzIwOWUyMGYtMDczZi00NDNkLWJlYTMtNmZmZGRlYmM5MTQ3&sort=name&layout=list&num=50

Интересный паттерн, соответствующий паттерну волн Вульфа , который можно найти каким-либо индикатором или непосредственно просматривая раличные таймфреймы, включая трёхчасовые, восьмичасовые и так далее. На данном графике размер клетки в 44 пункта это 1/3 от среднедневного изменения цены за 1000 записей. Т.е. среднее дневное движение канадского доллара ABS(H-L) по абсолюной величине будет равно 44Х3 или 132 пункта. Есть такая не то странная, не то интересная закономерность, средняя величина за 1000 дневных записей (О-С) будет ровно в половину меньше т.е. 66 пунктов. И так по всем парам, а также по золоту нефти и т.д. ===================== The Canadian dollar made more gains against the US dollar and crossed the line of parity. GDP and employment data are the major events this week. Here’s an outlook for the Canadian events and an updated technical analysis for USD/CAD.[forexcrunch] http://img810.imageshack.us/img810/3396/tb11oct30.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Oct25.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img27.imageshack.us/img27/3191/11oct30.pdf ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Oct25.html ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t https://docs.google.com/open?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YWVkMDYwMjQtMmQ0Ny00OWZmLWEyYmMtNTk4MDc3NDExZmM0

Обновленный обзор USD \\ JPY см. пост выше тоже. ~~~>img402.imageshack.us/img402/7995/11oct22.pdf http://img163.imageshack.us/img163/5677/m11oct22.png

Предполагается горизонтальное движение пары доллар\ена, падать вроде уже некуда, а подняться ещё сил нет. :-) I am neutral on USD/JPY. While the pair finally closed above 77 and has room for gains in the long run, it is hard to see the pair making a serious move right now. The high level of optimism probably won’t be repeated right now.[forexcrunch] http://img42.imageshack.us/img42/7260/m11oct17.png ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Oct17.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Oct17.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img696.imageshack.us/img696/6067/11oct18.pdf ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Oct17.zip

Moreover, Kiwi advanced as stock gains boosted demand for risky assets and also growth linked currencies like kiwi, along with the cheerful data from the Chinese economy, where China’ industrial production continued to accelerate, adding that New Zealand products will increase this period because the Chinese market is the largest market for New Zealand goods....(By fxempire) http://img192.imageshack.us/img192/9996/m11oct08.png ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Oct02.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Oct02.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img695.imageshack.us/img695/2585/11oct08.pdf ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Oct02.zip

Вроде должен остановиться рост доллара,пока думаю бьудет двигаться горизонтально, а потом возможна и коррекция. Market Commentary Dollar Index is just nearing resistance zone of 78.75-79.30 ranges though double dip depression in the US is still glooming resulting in most of the asset classes trading softer especially the equities, the dollar index may go sideways. http://img59.imageshack.us/img59/4222/m11sep271.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Sep20.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img842.imageshack.us/img842/5364/11sep27.pdf ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Sep20.html ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Sep27.zip

Traders and investors must follow the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) very closely. The major stock market indexes are trading inverse to the U.S. Dollar Index at this time. If the DXY declines or pulls back intra-day the major stock indexes will inflate and trade higher. The opposite is true if the DXY trades higher, obviously the major stock indexes will deflate and decline lower....[by wallstreetpit] http://img638.imageshack.us/img638/2327/m11sep21.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Sep20.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img269.imageshack.us/img269/3685/11sep21.pdf ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Sep20.zip

Целый год фунт движется практически горизонтально, хотя и диапазон этого движения значительный от ~1.67 до ~1.53 приблизительно, 1400 пунктов где-то. В настоящее время возможно дальнейшее снижение. =============== *The GBP/USD may continue its drop if data from the U.K. or other global economies remained bearish as it will increase the appeal of the dollar as a safe haven. On the hand, the dollar may remain boosted by the $447 billion jobs stimulus plan proposed by president Obama the pervious week. *This week, the main attention will be on inflation data from both economies as it will give an update about inflation status amid expectations that there might be monetary intervention by the Fed on Sep. 20-21 meeting and by the BoE later in the year. http://img88.imageshack.us/img88/9281/m11sep11.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Aug29.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug29.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img263.imageshack.us/img263/640/11sep111.pdf ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n 11Sep11.zip

Фунт тоже пробует расти, хотя перспектива его роста находится под сомнением. Во всяком случае нет никаких предпосылок для выхода из сложившегося в течение полугода торгового диапазона. GBP/USD:Pound trading flat this morning For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, GBP rose 0.37% against the USD and closed at 1.6409. The pair opened the Asian session at 1.6409, and is trading at 1.6408 at 3.00GMT. GBP is trading flat versus USD from yesterday’s close at 23:00 GMT. http://img200.imageshack.us/img200/852/m11aug30.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Aug29.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug29.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1802O1jqxFocie_a6-SU_qe2G75KoKC_JO_InzIxqx1k#id.wnlh7655fung ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Aug29.zip

*Длительное горизонтальное движение пары евро\доллар предполагает какое-то разрешение данной ситуации. *Каких-либо характерных моделей P&F кроме как "горизонтальный счёт" не представляется возможным применить. *Но многие трейдеры опираясь в основном на фундаментальные данные предполагают краткосрочный рост евро... *Я полагаю, что в ближайшее время будет выход из длительного горизонтального движения. ================= *EUR attempted a rally last week but found resistance at 1.4516 and pulled back. *As we have noted before, the key resistance level on the daily chart is 1.4530/40 and only a firm move abv there will indicate the next leg higher is under way. *Until that happens, EUR/USD is in trading range. Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy Stop at 1.4420; Target: 1.4900 ; Stop: 1.4310. http://img822.imageshack.us/img822/8294/m11aug22.png CLICK HERE for detail information... ~~~>iticsoftware.com/postimages2//201009/11Aug14.html ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug14.html ^^^ OR vvv https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?hl=ru&hl=ru&key=0AhXFe9FXJohUdFE0b0FKY3d6eEVCZm04WjlxU0UtTlE&single=true&gid=1&output=html https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1802O1jqxFocie_a6-SU_qe2G75KoKC_JO_InzIxqx1k#id.mprxaw5178k8 ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Aug22.zip

Возможно сильное движение по паре евро\доллар к концу недели, скорее всего снижение... ----------------------------------------------------------- *The Euro is still unclear and it seems that investors are waiting for some kind of a trigger to determine the direction. Monday is French & Italian holidays, so the Euro might by numb until Tuesday. Then, there is an important data such as the German GDP and building permits in the US. *The 200 SMA is still a strong supportive area for the Euro, and as long as it remains above that support it will have better chances for rising towards 1.44 and above. A break-down can take the Euro down to 1.385. By forexpros.... http://img714.imageshack.us/img714/2811/11aug14m.png ~~~>http://mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug14.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>http://img155.imageshack.us/img155/151/11aug14.pdf ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1802O1jqxFocie_a6-SU_qe2G75KoKC_JO_InzIxqx1k#id.mprxaw5178k8 ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Aug14.zip

Должно же в конце концов наступить время, когда франк перестанет расти... ======================= The Swiss franc is having a one sided summer, thanks to the global slowdown. Even a sophisticated intervention attempt by the SNB was short lived, and failed to stop the franc. The debt crisis in the old continent and the debt ceiling issues in the US meant a stronger Swiss franc across the board, with fresh records against both major currencies. Where will this stop? http://img834.imageshack.us/img834/3342/11aug07.png ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug01o.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>img146.imageshack.us/img146/5498/11aug06.pdf ^^^ OR vvv https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=0AhXFe9FXJohUdFE0b0FKY3d6eEVCZm04WjlxU0UtTlE&hl=ru&single=true&gid=1&output=html ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Aug07.zip

USD/CHF: Despite the intense downtrend resulting in recently established fresh record lows below 0.8000, short/medium/longer-term technical studies are looking quite stretched to us, and we continue to like the idea of taking shots at buying in anticipation of a major base... http://img405.imageshack.us/img405/5741/11aug01tb.png ~~~>img24.imageshack.us/img24/3980/o11aug01.pdf ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>mdunleavy.byethost7.com/11Aug01o.html ^^^ OR vvv ~~~>docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1r5tvs16QsoQfcng4CL1LxaWk5U9xx2XyLke4fv7UUdQ#id.778o9ee9fdil ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t 11Aug01o.zip

Золото устанавливает новые максимумы. ===================================== More on ... XAU/USD Gold ’s had an unbelievable start to the week as it surged above the all-time highs at 1610 and is now bumping up against 1625. Gold’s move is being driven by worries about the US dollar as investors seek a safer alternative to the struggling greenback. Any pullback to 1610 will be seen as a buying opportunity, while traders are also likely to take long positions..... http://img685.imageshack.us/img685/841/tbu11jul25mane.png http://img51.imageshack.us/img51/7991/tbu11jul25big.png CLICK HERE for detail information... http://img696.imageshack.us/img696/7536/u11jul25.pdf ^^^ OR vvv https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YzJmZjE5NTgtNTliMC00ODJlLTliMzUtOWE2MWE1N2JjNTkz&sort=name&layout=list&num=50 ^^^ OR vvv https://docs.google.com/document/pub?id=1r5tvs16QsoQfcng4CL1LxaWk5U9xx2XyLke4fv7UUdQ#id.jhowt65dxs6a ^^^ OR vvv A t t a c h m e n t u11Jul25.zip