Ситуация на рынке-взгляд со стороны

[FOREXDANCE]

Мое почтение, дамы и господа!

Судя по методике Masterforex-V, у Евро открыта дорога вниз. Пробит наклонный канал и Пивот 1. Ближайшая цель - 1.2438 (+- 5п). Когда эта цель будет достигнута, окажется пробитым Пивот 2, что гарантирут дальнейшее падение Евро:

http://s017.radikal.ru/i418/1206/05/5eace1785de2.jpg

[Manja]

Мое почтение, дамы и господа!

Судя по методике Masterforex-V, у Евро открыта дорога вниз. Пробит наклонный канал и Пивот 1. Ближайшая цель - 1.2438 (+- 5п). Когда эта цель будет достигнута, окажется пробитым Пивот 2, что гарантирут дальнейшее падение Евро:

http://s017.radikal.ru/i418/1206/05/5eace1785de2.jpg

Мне кажется что должен быть возврат к точке пробоя трендовой и затем ФЗР- разве не так?

[FOREXDANCE]

ФЗР уже есть - 100% уровень пробит.

[MDunleavy]

--The USD/JPY pair shot straight up during the week as the dollar found its footing against most currencies for the week.

--The 80 handle continues to be the epicenter of resistance for our money, and has still price down.

--The level won’t be considered broken out of it until we cross and close above the 80.50 level.

--This area is a clear top to the resistance area on the daily charts.

--Because of this, we are not ready to go along yet but believe that a break of the top of this week’s candle would be an excellent buy signal.

--As for selling, we are looking to do that now. [by FX Empire Analyst]

> > Click to learn more! < < ↓↓↓

>>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html<<
>>https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvdktmX0NlcnJWMHM<<
>>http://img401.imageshack.us/img401/9310/12jun24.pdf<<

A d d i t i o n a l l y ↑↑↑

[Шахматист]

--The USD/JPY pair shot straight up during the week as the dollar found its footing against most currencies for the week.

--The 80 handle continues to be the epicenter of resistance for our money, and has still price down.

--The level won’t be considered broken out of it until we cross and close above the 80.50 level.

--This area is a clear top to the resistance area on the daily charts.

--Because of this, we are not ready to go along yet but believe that a break of the top of this week’s candle would be an excellent buy signal.

--As for selling, we are looking to do that now. [by FX Empire Analyst]

> > Click to learn more! < < ↓↓↓

>>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html<<
>>https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvdktmX0NlcnJWMHM<<
>>http://img401.imageshack.us/img401/9310/12jun24.pdf<<

A d d i t i o n a l l y ↑↑↑

 

Согласен что общий тренд нисходящий, при незначительно повышении рынка. При этом общий характер движения боковой, если я Вас правильно понял.

[MDunleavy]

The Dollar Index (DXY), which Intercontinental Exchange Inc. uses to track the greenback against the currencies of six major U.S. trade partners including the euro and the yen, advanced 2 percent, the most since December, to 83.285. It touched 83.431, the highest level since June 1.

==================================

Dollar Index [DXY]: This forum had the conviction to be a $ bull for the last 1 year or so when all expert commentary was bearish on the currency. The buck hasn’t disappointed by its performance either, having rallied from 73.26 in May 2011 to a close of 82.9420 last week, just under its previous high at 83.6700. Can the $ rally higher?

> > Learn more! < < ↓↓↓

>>https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html<<
>>https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvMVFhZzFydUxfa3M<<
>>http://img195.imageshack.us/img195/2825/12jul07.pdf<<

A d d i t i o n a l l y ↑↑↑

[MDunleavy]

--EUR/USD Weekly Outlook and Trading Idea Outlook:

--As expected EUR/USD continued lower and almost reached the 1.2145 Fibonacci level (the low recorded last week was 1.2163).

--Now, despite the Friday's bounce, the daily chart remains very negative and I expect further weakness.

--We may see some choppy sideways action first (most likely between 1.2145 and 1.2345) because the market has become quite oversold.

--Only a rise abv 1.2430/40 will negate the immediate bearish outlook and will risk larger recovery twd 1.2670 before the downtrend from the May 2011 top resumes....

--Strategy: Holding short from 1.2600 is favored. Stop=1.2450. [by ibtimes]

> > Learn more! < <

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

See also ↓↓↓

~~~>_https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvbTVST0hIWGVmVkk

^^^ORvvv

~~~>_http://img694.imageshack.us/img694/7990/12jul15.pdf

^^^ORvvv

A d d i t i o n a l l y ↑↑↑

[MDunleavy]

--Фунт продемонстрировал снижение на "заранее подготовленные позиции" :)Новостей на этой неделе мало, потому рассчитывать на большие амплитуды перемещений не приходится. Состояние 30х3 на 2012-Jul-24 08-10 (GMT+02:00) Athens большая KapTuHKa

--При размере клетки 30 пунктов и реверсе 3 хорошо виден упор в линию поддержки.

===========================

–Please note that overall GBP/USD has been in a very volatile sideways mode since January 2009.

–A break below 1.5269 and then the low of January 13th i.e.

–1.5233 may indicate a break below the lower support line.

–Please check this weekly chart of GBP/USD.

–Strategies for Trading GBP/USD (British Pound-Dollar): s mentioned above, our overall outlook for GBP/USD stays bearish but initially we stay neutral to expect some volatile sideway moves and even the possibilities of some further upward consolidation can’t be ignored.

–We are avoiding longs for GBP/USD right now, considering the overall bearish outlook.

–As mentioned above, initially we will be watching for the breaks of mentioned resistance and supports for the next week's trade decisions.

– [by forexabode.]

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

See also ↓↓↓

~~~>_http://img16.imageshack.us/img16/6202/12jul21.pdf

^^^ORvvv

~~~>_https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvdlFOalNHS3c3bnM

^^^ORvvv

A d d i t i o n a l l y ↑↑↑

[MDunleavy]

Длительное горизонтальное движение золота предполагает «транспорирование» :) горизонтального движения в вертикальное … Т.е. не исключён выход из диапазона. Возможно будет прорыв линии сопротивления и рост цены на золото хотя бы в район 1670 долларов за унцию.

KapTuHKa

==============

-GOLD: Although GOLD rallied sharply to close higher the past week, it remains trapped in a range between the 1,544.35 and the 1,640.45 levels.

-In order for the commodity to extend its upside it will have to break and hold above the 1,640.45 level, its range top.

-This if seen will open up further upside towards the 1,670.70 level and then the 1,700.00 level.

-Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength.

-The alternative scenario will be for the commodity to return to the 1,546.95 level on price failure where a violation will aim at the 1,527.05 level where a breach will resume its broader medium term weakness and then pave the way for further declines towards the 1,500.00 level.

-Price hesitation could occur here but if that level gives way, expect the commodity to decline further towards 1,478.05 level.

-All in all, GOLD continues to hold on to its broader medium term downside though trading in a range[Written by FXTechStrategy]

 

>>>Click for larger picture in new window!<<<

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

vvv Click to learn more! vvv

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

See also vvv

~~~>_https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B9cvIxidsTjvczdYMzY1eGpWbXM

^^^ORvvv

~~~>_http://img819.imageshack.us/img819/7263/12jul30.pdf

A d d i t i o n a l l y^^^

[MDunleavy]

Австралийский доллар по всей видимости закончил восходящее движение и консолидируется в диапазаоне 1,0575-1,0350. На мой взгляд возможно дальнейшее небольшое снижение к 1,0260-1,0215.

—The Australian dollar showed some movement in both directions but was almost unchanged over the week, as AUD/USD closed at 1.0399.

—Highlights of the upcoming week include Building Approvals and Private Capital Expenditure.

—The pair continues to trade in a narrow range following mixed economic releases in both the US and Australia, as the pair showed some fluctuation but was unable to sustain any breakout.

—I am neutral on AUD/USD.

—After impressive gains this summer, the aussie has been in a holding pattern for the past few weeks.

—Given the turmoil in Europe and mixed data out of the US and Australia, the choppiness could continue.

—However, if the US economy produces more weak data and there is further talk of QE intervention, look for the Australian dollar to make some gains.[Written by forexcrunch]

> > Подробности< <

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

Ознакомтесь также ↓↓↓

~~~>_https://docs.google.com/open?id=0BxxKzvQ2GlM8YzEyYWE0ZDUtZjI5My00MjA3LWJkOGItYzIyZjg0NjFhMmJj

^^^ORvvv

~~~>_http://img99.imageshack.us/img99/5194/12aug27.pdf

Д о п о л н и т е л ь н о ↑↑↑

[MDunleavy]

Предполагаю консолидацию евро после сильного восходящего движения.

-----------

–Euro/dollar had a positive week, riding on the determination of the ECB in using its firepower to counter the Spanish crisis.

–The upcoming week is even more important, with the German constitutional court’s ruling needed to enable the bailouts.

–There are quite a few additional regular indicators and special events.

–Will the rally continue?.

–I am neutral on EUR/USD.

–After the huge rally that sent the pair to the highest levels since May, there is room for some correction.

–The rise came on a better than expected ECB decision, and high hopes for QE3 in the US.

–These hopes could lead to a disappointment, countering the big steps that Europe is taking to counter the crisis.

–Written by Forexcrunch.

↓↓↓Подробности здесь↓↓↓

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

 

http://i1165.photobucket.com/albums/q595/FForeman/12Aug20/2-1.png

 

Также можно ознакомиться ↓↓↓

~~~>_http://img684.imageshack.us/img684/9896/12sep08.pdf

^^^ORvvv

~~~>_https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B9cvIxidsTjvSVVYaWM5N2dYQ1k/preview

Или здесь... ↑↑↑

[Kostefan]

Мда ветка чахнет на глазах. Народу стало мало ((

[MDunleavy]

–Если воспользоваться уровнями фибо , то нетяжело заметить, что золото опустилось до уровня 38,2% от последнего роста (1589,2-1795,8).

–Потому либо дальнейшее движение к уровню 50% ~1690.00 либо коррекция до уровня 1740, что мне кажется более вероятным.

–Мне представляется, что фигура, сильно напоминающая расширяющийся треугольник завершена.

–Цена будет рисовать что-то следующее. Тем более 12 дней снижение должно завершиться коррекцией… Смотрите на график, так продолжительно цена давно не снижалась….

-----------------

–Gold Prices Range bound till New Effective Triggers are seen:

–Gold traders now look ahead to next week and movements in gold prices will be taking cues from the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday and Q3 GDP data on Friday.

–It is highly unlikely for the Fed to change its QE3 decision in the October 2 day FOMC meeting, which concludes Wednesday.

–Although the central bank is not expected to alter its policy stance, investors will be closely eyeing the accompanying statement for an updated assessment of the domestic economy.

–If the Fed adds concerns about inflation and rising prices, gold prices will remain well supported as investors flock into gold bullion as a traditional hedge against inflationary pressures.

–The Fed may also keep focus on what to do when Operation Twist ends in December.

[Written forexpros]

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vvv Click to learn more! vvv

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

Большая картинка

http://uaix.piccy.info/i7/1a9dbae75eb100e2abb6fee3aecd2358/4-47-698/17613016/12Oct22gold.png

[MDunleavy]

AUD\USD

=======

–Ситуация неопределённая, но определяться нужно :)!

–Если считать что цена строит фигуру восходящего треу4гольника, то можно ожидать прорыва мощной линии сопротивления в районе 1,0440.

–Если дорисуется четвёртый крестик в последнем восходящем движении т.е. цена, скажем, покажет 1,0441 можно будет подумать об открытии длинных позиций с целью 1,0620-1,0665.

–А вообще сильно не верится в рост австралийского доллара, сколько ж ему расти

–The AUD/USD pair initially fell during the week, but found a bit of a bid later on and formed a hammer.

–This is right after to shooting stars, and is in the middle of a massive consolidation area.

–We figure that this pair will be very difficult to trade, although it does look bullish at the moment.

–As for a longer-term point of view, the Reserve Bank of Australia is slated to cut rates at least once if not twice.

–This should weigh upon the Australian dollar going forward, as well as all the global risks out there.

–However, it appears that as far as longer-term trader concerned, we need to break above the 1.06 level to have complete clarity higher.

–If we managed to break down below the 1.0150 level however, we figure that this pair will absolutely crumble.

[Written by fxempire]

↓↓↓ Click to learn more!↓↓↓

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/pub?key=0AhxKzvQ2GlM8dDBqYWl6XzlEbFZDWFVob0FMbG9nbGc&output=html

See also

~~~> _https://docs.google.com/file/d/0B9cvIxidsTjvZFVnNDZGTjJ3ZXM/preview

↑↑↑ OR ↓↓↓

~~~> _http://img827.imageshack.us/img827/7477/12oct27.pdf

A d d i t i o n a l l y

[Белорусское сообщество]

Юань в борьбе за звание ведущий валюты.

 

Председатель ФРС США Бен Бернанке на недавнем заседании в Токио заявил, что развивающиеся экономики могут оградить себя от негативных последствий, связанных с его решениями, просто отказавшись от привязки национальной валюты к доллару.

 

Развивающиеся экономики вынуждены ослаблять монетарную политику, каждый раз, когда это делает Бернанке, именно из-за своей привычки следовать за американской валютой, какой бы слабой она ни была. Заместитель главы центрального банка Китая в свою очередь отметил, что его страна больше не накапливает резервы в долларах. Подробнее...